Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.172813 2.515098 2.891229 3.334884 3.843557 4.408228 5.082309
2025-02-16 1.619260 2.048128 2.560017 3.214803 4.028927 5.006637 6.268773
2025-02-23 1.221640 1.671722 2.249657 3.043564 4.103071 5.465374 7.346893
2025-03-02 0.932014 1.369783 1.970289 2.849838 4.100350 5.808879 8.314003
2025-03-09 0.772241 1.210474 1.848394 2.837953 4.326463 6.472543 9.789750
2025-03-16 0.630953 1.050015 1.694521 2.748681 4.418617 6.947619 11.049225
2025-03-23 0.571183 1.003040 1.700751 2.897156 4.881622 8.020585 13.331908
2025-03-30 0.511211 0.944209 1.676781 2.989622 5.262361 9.005152 15.591135
2025-04-06 0.447116 0.866588 1.608127 2.993848 5.491738 9.764531 17.564979
2025-04-13 0.371143 0.754169 1.461005 2.836954 5.416693 9.994945 18.655760
2025-04-20 0.340005 0.720983 1.451741 2.927340 5.792879 11.047918 21.308493
2025-04-27 0.320747 0.707848 1.477644 3.086063 6.313223 12.414062 24.679576
2025-05-04 0.290518 0.668652 1.449679 3.140991 6.652231 13.503638 27.703297
2025-05-11 0.261407 0.627012 1.410750 3.168332 6.940524 14.531166 30.733666
2025-05-18 0.226652 0.566715 1.323418 3.080862 6.980116 15.070670 32.853825
2025-05-25 0.192470 0.501519 1.215108 2.930779 6.863956 15.274424 34.299664
2025-06-01 0.174287 0.471744 1.182313 2.945836 7.111548 16.267457 37.528105
2025-06-08 0.152792 0.429769 1.114484 2.868989 7.139745 16.788319 39.786418
2025-06-15 0.147309 0.428592 1.145184 3.033450 7.751975 18.670806 45.295396
2025-06-22 0.138877 0.417970 1.150677 3.136025 8.228344 20.296020 50.392985
2025-06-29 0.126775 0.394931 1.120770 3.143956 8.472254 21.406405 54.406184
2025-07-06 0.108868 0.351787 1.030941 2.981465 8.263498 21.413768 55.775726
2025-07-13 0.103162 0.344057 1.036608 3.077459 8.737852 23.138802 61.545310